ASEAN's Fundamentals Are Attractive Amid COVID-19 - Emerging Market Views

ASEAN’s Fundamentals Are Attractive Amid COVID-19

It’s been a challenging few years for companies operating internationally. Trade barriers have increased due to disruptions such as the US-China trade dispute and the UK withdrawal from the European Union. Now the COVID-19 outbreak is putting pressure on global supply chains and consumer confidence, with serious consequences for economic growth.

For 2020, Standard Chartered economists forecast the ASEAN-6 economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) will contract 1.7 percent, due to the heavy impact of the pandemic on key sectors including manufacturing, transport, and tourism-related industries.

For companies considering their strategies in the wake of the COVID-19 virus outbreak, ASEAN stands out as an investment destination especially as governments in the region have announced various economic stimulus plans to support growth

These disruptions demonstrate that for companies of all sizes, planning and implementing a diversification strategy is more relevant than ever.

Diversification could mean expanding into an overseas market that you have long considered but are yet to enter. The economic recovery from COVID-19 will take time and the pace of recovery will differ, so it’s important for companies to invest in diverse markets to leverage the available resources and opportunities.

For companies considering their strategies in the wake of the COVID-19 virus outbreak, ASEAN stands out as an investment destination especially as governments in the region have announced various economic stimulus plans to support growth. For instance, the Singapore government has unveiled stimulus packages totaling more than SGD90 billion (USD65 billion), equivalent to almost 20 percent of GDP. The efforts are focused on helping workers keep their jobs and supporting corporates in getting access to credit, as well as targeted relief for hard-hit sectors like aviation and tourism.

Intra-ASEAN mergers and acquisitions activities in sectors from manufacturing to real estate rose for the second consecutive year in 2018, with the number of deals more than doubling to 95 (worth a total of US$992 million) from 2016.

As the world works together to combat COVID-19 and governments unveil stimulus packages to jumpstart economies, adapting business models to changing environments is critical to growth and employment. To succeed, companies large and small need to ensure diversification is a key pillar in the strategy of the future. Only by capturing the opportunities from enhanced diversification can companies remain resilient and continue to take advantage of ASEAN’s growth potential.

About Chow Wan Thonh

Chow Wan Thnonh is Standard Chartered’s Head of Global Banking, Singapore, Indonesia and ASEAN-South Asia Cluster Markets. She is based in Singapore.